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kb:hypothesis_testing [2021-05-10 14:06] – jaeyoung | kb:hypothesis_testing [2024-04-30 04:03] (current) – external edit 127.0.0.1 | ||
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We can do this by making the decision that minimizes the probability of error *conditional* on the measurement $R = r$. | We can do this by making the decision that minimizes the probability of error *conditional* on the measurement $R = r$. | ||
- | * If $P(H_1|R = r) > P(H_0|R = r)$, that is, if it is more likely that $H = H_1$ than $H = H_0$ given that $R = r$, we decide | + | * If $P(H_1|R = r) > P(H_0|R = r)$, that is, if it is more likely that $H = H_1$ than $H = H_0$ given that $R = r$, we decide $'H_1'$. |
- | * Otherwise, if $P(H_1|R = r) < P(H_0|R = r)$, that is, if it is more likely that $H = H_1$ than $H = H_0$ given that $R = r$, we decide | + | * Otherwise, if $P(H_1|R = r) < P(H_0|R = r)$, that is, if it is more likely that $H = H_1$ than $H = H_0$ given that $R = r$, we decide $'H_0'$. |
The resulting conditional probability of error is: | The resulting conditional probability of error is: | ||
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where $f_{R|H}$ is the conditional PDF of the random variable $R$ given a certain $H$, and $f_R$ is the PDF of $R$. | where $f_{R|H}$ is the conditional PDF of the random variable $R$ given a certain $H$, and $f_R$ is the PDF of $R$. | ||
- | Since we are just comparing $P(H_0|R = r)$ and $P(H_1|R = r)$, we can cancel out the $f_R{r}$ on both sides, so it is equivalent to comparing $P(H_0) f_{R|H}(r|H_0)$ and $P(H_1) f_{R|H}(r|H_1)$: | + | Since we are just comparing $P(H_0|R = r)$ and $P(H_1|R = r)$, we can cancel out the $f_R(r)$ on both sides, so it is equivalent to comparing $P(H_0) f_{R|H}(r|H_0)$ and $P(H_1) f_{R|H}(r|H_1)$: |
- | * If $P(H_0) f_{R|H}(r|H_0) > P(H_1) f_{R|H}(r|H_1)$, then announce | + | * If $P(H_0) f_{R|H}(r|H_0) > P(H_0) f_{R|H}(r|H_0)$, then announce $'H_0'$. |
- | * If $P(H_0) f_{R|H}(r|H_0) < P(H_1) f_{R|H}(r|H_1)$, | + | * If $P(H_0) f_{R|H}(r|H_0) < P(H_1) f_{R|H}(r|H_1)$, |
+ | ===== Likelihood ratio test ===== | ||
+ | The likelihood ratio $\Lambda(r)$ is defined as: | ||
+ | |||
+ | $$ \Lambda(r) = \frac{f_{R|H}(r|H_1)}{f_{R|H}(r|H_0)} $$ | ||
+ | |||
+ | We can compare this likelihood ratio to the threshold $\eta$, which is the ratio between the a priori probabilities: | ||
+ | |||
+ | $$ \eta = \frac{P(H_1)}{P(H_0)} $$ | ||
+ | |||
+ | If $ \Lambda(r) > \eta $, then announce $' | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===== Terminology for different probabilities ===== | ||
+ | |||
+ | Probability of miss (probability we announce $H = H_0$, when in reality $H = H_1$): | ||
+ | |||
+ | $$ P_M = P(' | ||
+ | |||
+ | Probability of false alarm (probability we announce $H = H_1$, when in reality $H = H_0$): | ||
+ | |||
+ | $$ P_{FA} = P(' | ||
+ | |||
+ | Probability of detection (probability we announce $H = H_1$ given that $H = H_1$): | ||
+ | |||
+ | $$ P_D = P(' | ||
+ | |||
+ | True negative rate/ | ||
+ | |||
+ | $$ 1 - P_{FA} = P(' | ||
+ | |||
+ | Positive predictive value (probability that $H = H_1$ given that we announce $H = H_1$): | ||
+ | |||
+ | $$ P(H_1| ' | ||
+ | |||
+ | Negative predictive value (probability that $H = H_0$ given that we announce $H = H_0$): | ||
+ | |||
+ | $$ P(H_0| ' |