Kolmogorov-Smirnov test [Jaeyoung Wiki]

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====== Kolmogorov-Smirnov test ======

The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is used to test if an [[kb:probstat:empirical_cumulative_distribution]] follows a particular distribution.

===== Glivenko-Cantelli Theorem (Fundamental theorem of statistics) =====

Let $F(t)$ be the true CDF of $X_1, ..., X_n  \stackrel{iid}{\sim} X$. Let $F_n(t)$ be the empirical cdf of $X_1, ..., X_n$. Then,

$$\sup_{t\in \mathbb{R}}|F_n(t)-F(t)|\xrightarrow[n\rightarrow\infty]{a.s.}0$$

This tells us that as the number of samples increases, the empirical and true CDFs will converge for all values of $t$.

===== Asymptotic normality =====

$$\sqrt{n}(F_n(t)-F(t))\xrightarrow[n\to\infty]{(d)}\mathcal{N}(0,F(t)(1-F(t)))$$

===== Donsker's Theorem =====

If $F$ is continuous, then

$$\sqrt{n}\sup_{t\in\mathbb{R}}|F_n(t)-F(t)|\xrightarrow[n\to\infty]{(d)}\sup_{0<t'<1}|\mathbb{B}(t')|$$

$\mathbb{B}$ is the a Brownian bridge on $[0,1]$, which is defined:

$$\mathbb{B}(t') \sim \mathcal{N}(0,t')$$

It is called a Brownian bridge because the values at $t'=0$ and $t'=1$ are pinned at $0$.

===== Hypothesis test setup =====

Let $X_1, ..., X_n$ be i.i.d. random variables and follow the cdf $F$. Let $F^0$ be a continuous cdf. This test that tells us whether those values follow the cdf $F^0$

$$H_0: F = F^0$$
$$H_1: F \neq F^0$$

Let $F_n$ be the [[kb:probstat:empirical_cumulative_distribution|empirical cdf]] of the sample $X_1, ..., X_n$. If $F=F^0$, then $F_n(t)\approx F^0(t)$ for $t\in [0,1]$.

The test statistic is:

$$T_n = \sup_{t\in\mathbb{R}}|F_n(t)-F^0(t)|$$

By Donsker's theorem, if $H_0$ is true, then,

$$\sqrt{n}T_n \xrightarrow [n\to \infty]{(d)} Z$$

where $Z$ is the supremum of a Brownian bridge from $t'=0$ to $t'=1$.

The Kolmogorov-Smirnov with asymptotic level $\alpha$ is defined as:

$$\delta_\alpha=\mathbb{1}\{T_n > \frac{q_\alpha}{\sqrt{n}}\}$$

where $q_\alpha$ is the ($1-\alpha$) quantile of $Z$.

And the p-value is:

$$p = \mathbb{P}[Z > T_n]$$

===== Calculating the KS test statistic =====

Let $X_{(i)}$ be the $i$th smallest sample. ($X_{(1)}\leq X_{(2)}\leq ... X_{(n)}$). Then, the formula for the test statistic $T_n$ becomes:

$$T_n=\max_i\{\max(|\frac{i-1}{n}-F^0(X_{(i)})|, |\frac{i}{n}-F^0(X_{(i)})|)\}$$

This formula checks all of the samples (discontinuities in the [[kb:probstat:empirical_cumulative_distribution|empirical cdf]]) and finds the maximum distance between the empirical cdf and the cdf we are checking against ($F^0$).

This test statistic is a pivotal statistic because it does not depend on the distribution of $X_i$s. In other words, this test statistic is general for all KS tests, not specific to any one.